Anticipation Across Disciplines

September 22 - 24, 2014

Venue:

Hanse-Wissenschaftskolleg
Lehmkuhlenbusch 4
27753 Delmenhorst
Germany

Organizer:

Prof. Dr. Mihai Nadin
University of Texas at Dallas/USA

Anticipation Across Disciplines

September 22 - 24, 2014

Venue:

Hanse-Wissenschaftskolleg
Lehmkuhlenbusch 4
27753 Delmenhorst
Germany

Organizer:

Prof. Dr. Mihai Nadin
University of Texas at Dallas/USA

The major crises of the last ten years (financial, ecological, social, and even moral) illustrate the urgent need for an anticipatory perspective. We cannot afford to ignore the questions pertinent to sustainability – a major global challenge. There are many examples of current experimental science from a variety of disciplines pointing more or less directly to phenomena of anticipation: from brain signals to phenomena on the level of single cells, there is evidence that living organisms are characterized by the ability to plan ahead. Only in very few cases, however, data associated with anticipatory processes are published under the heading of anticipation, and even less often they are integrated into a theoretical framework of anticipation. Hence it appears that the field of research focused on anticipation can be defined as data-rich and theory-poor. The meeting on “Anticipation across disciplines” as part of the HWK Study Group (Speaker: Prof. Dr. Mihai Nadin) of the same name will build upon this premise.

The data on anticipatory processes comes from neuroscience, cognitive science, psychology, behavioral sciences, physiology, political science, sociology, economics, sports, and from the arts. The major theoretical contributions (Bernstein, Anokhin, Rosen, Nadin) afforded good preliminaries. But the community of researchers interested in anticipation is openly asking for improved foundations that account for the rich data generated in recent years. The meeting will contribute to providing those interested in anticipation with access to knowledge regarding anticipatory processes across the various levels of the living: from the genetic, the cellular, to the organism, and to interactions among organisms.

Anticipation as a characteristic of the living expands the nature of scientific inquiry from the re-action model to one that integrates pro-action. Indeed, the need for a proactive approach to matters of energy, sustainability, and public health is almost unanimously accepted. In defining a Research Agenda for the 21st Century, the National Science Foundation stated: “It is no overstatement to suggest that humanity’s future will be shaped by its capacity to anticipate….” The meeting brings together experts on anticipatory processes from a variety of research fields, offering not only an exchange on current topics of anticipation research but also a framework for reciprocal evaluation and validation of results. The goal is to facilitate the furtherance of the body of knowledge that can be shared with the scientific community and, eventually, be integrated in teaching.

The invited scholars and industry practitioners come from the following domains: neuroscience, psychology, artificial agents, energy, sustainability, political science, economics, new media.
The scientific agenda is very clearly defined. The invited researchers accepted the following requirements:
Present specialized research reflected in experimental data to non-specialists
Frame experimental data in explanatory language that can be shared with experts from a variety of disciplines.
Try to infer from the richness of data to principles.
Provide hypotheses in conjunction with criteria for evaluation.
Explore how we generalize specialized knowledge into explanatory models that can be understood across disciplines.

The major crises of the last ten years (financial, ecological, social, and even moral) illustrate the urgent need for an anticipatory perspective. We cannot afford to ignore the questions pertinent to sustainability – a major global challenge. There are many examples of current experimental science from a variety of disciplines pointing more or less directly to phenomena of anticipation: from brain signals to phenomena on the level of single cells, there is evidence that living organisms are characterized by the ability to plan ahead. Only in very few cases, however, data associated with anticipatory processes are published under the heading of anticipation, and even less often they are integrated into a theoretical framework of anticipation. Hence it appears that the field of research focused on anticipation can be defined as data-rich and theory-poor. The meeting on “Anticipation across disciplines” as part of the HWK Study Group (Speaker: Prof. Dr. Mihai Nadin) of the same name will build upon this premise.

The data on anticipatory processes comes from neuroscience, cognitive science, psychology, behavioral sciences, physiology, political science, sociology, economics, sports, and from the arts. The major theoretical contributions (Bernstein, Anokhin, Rosen, Nadin) afforded good preliminaries. But the community of researchers interested in anticipation is openly asking for improved foundations that account for the rich data generated in recent years. The meeting will contribute to providing those interested in anticipation with access to knowledge regarding anticipatory processes across the various levels of the living: from the genetic, the cellular, to the organism, and to interactions among organisms.

Anticipation as a characteristic of the living expands the nature of scientific inquiry from the re-action model to one that integrates pro-action. Indeed, the need for a proactive approach to matters of energy, sustainability, and public health is almost unanimously accepted. In defining a Research Agenda for the 21st Century, the National Science Foundation stated: “It is no overstatement to suggest that humanity’s future will be shaped by its capacity to anticipate….” The meeting brings together experts on anticipatory processes from a variety of research fields, offering not only an exchange on current topics of anticipation research but also a framework for reciprocal evaluation and validation of results. The goal is to facilitate the furtherance of the body of knowledge that can be shared with the scientific community and, eventually, be integrated in teaching.

The invited scholars and industry practitioners come from the following domains: neuroscience, psychology, artificial agents, energy, sustainability, political science, economics, new media.
The scientific agenda is very clearly defined. The invited researchers accepted the following requirements:
Present specialized research reflected in experimental data to non-specialists
Frame experimental data in explanatory language that can be shared with experts from a variety of disciplines.
Try to infer from the richness of data to principles.
Provide hypotheses in conjunction with criteria for evaluation.
Explore how we generalize specialized knowledge into explanatory models that can be understood across disciplines.

Program

Monday, September 22, 2014

09:00                  Welcome Address (Prof. Dr. Reto Weiler, Rector HWK)
                            SESSION 1: THEORETICAL AND GENERAL ASPECTS OF ANTICIPATION
09:10 – 09:50   Anticipation of Random Future Events
                            Patrizio Tressoldi (Padova, Italy)
09:50 – 10:30   The Birth Defect of the Information Processing Approach
                            Joachim Hoffmann (Würzburg, Germany)
10:30 – 11:10   Future Perception in Plants.
                            Ariel Novoplanksy (Negev, Israel)
11:10 – 11:40   COFFEE BREAK
11:40 – 12:20   Anticipation and the Corresponding Neural Processes
                            Andres Kurismaa (Tallin, Estonia)
12:20 - 13:00    An Epistemological Compromise Between Observer and Actor
                            Alastair Hewitt (Boston, USA), Skype
13:00 – 14:30   LUNCH BREAK
                           Inside-Out
                            Lada Nakonechna (Kiev, Ukraine)
                            A Performance (Anticipation and Art)
                            SESSION 2: ANTICIPATION IN BIOLOGICAL AND PHYSIOLOGICAL
                            SYSTEMS
14:30 – 15:10   Exploiting Predictable Responses.
                            Bjoern Brembs (Regensburg, Germany)
15:10 – 15:50   The Closed-Loop Coding-Decoding (CL-CD) and Analysis by Synthesis
                            (A-by-S) as B sics Principles of the Anticipatory Functional Organization in
                            Living Systems.
                            Dobilas Kirvelis (Vilnius, Lithuania)
15:50 – 16:30   Complex Renewable Energy Networks
                            Martin Greiner (Aarhus, Denmark)
16:30 – 17:00   COFFEE BREAK
17:00 – 17:40   Neurocognition of Prediction.
                            Ricarda Ines Schubotz (Münster, Germany)
17:40 – 18:20   Time and Consciousness: Feeling the Future Again --
                            Retroactive Avoidance of Negative Stimuli
                            Markus A. Maier, Vanessa L. Büchner (München, Germany)
18:20 – 19:00   Human, All Too Human: Euclidean and Multifractal Analysis in
                            an Experimental Diagrammatic Model of Thinking
                            Fabián Labra-Spröhnle (Wellington, New Zealand)
19:00                 WELCOME RECEPTION AND DINNER AT HWK

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

                            SESSION 3: ANTICIPATION IN (NEURAL) NETWORKS
09:30 – 10:10   Certain and Uncertain Futures in the Brain
                            Daniel S. Levine (Arlington, USA)
10:10 – 10:50   The Imminence Mapping Anticipates
                            A. H. Louie (Ottawa, Canada)
10:50 – 11:20   COFFEE BREAK
11:20 – 12:00   Synapses in a Digital Medium
                            Slawomir Nasuto (Reading, UK)
12:00 – 12:40   Representation and Anticipation in Motor Action
                            Thomas Schack, Christoph Schütz, and Christian Seegelke
                            (Bielefeld, Germany)

12:40 – 14:00   LUNCH BREAK
                            Inside - Out
                            Lada Nakonechna (Kiev, Ukraine)
                             A Performance (Anticipation and Art)
                            SESSION 4: ANTICIPATION IN ENGINEERING & INFORMATION
                            TECHNOLOGY
14:00 – 14:40   Information Concepts in Anticipatory Systems
                            Tippure S. Sundresh (Naperville, USA)
14:40 – 15:20   Anticipatory Behavior of Software Agents in Self-Organizing Negotiations
                            Jan Ole Berndt and Otthein Herzog (Bremen, Germany)
15:20 – 15:50   COFFEE BREAK
15:50 – 16:30   The Ways of Scientific Anticipation: From Guesses to Probabilities
                             and From There to Certainty
                             Aaro Toomela (Tallinn, Estonia), Skype
16:30 – 17:10   Anticipatory Engineering: Anticipation in Sensory-Motor Systems
                            of Human
                            Yoshikatsu Hayashi, Jamie Blake, and Slawomir J. Nasuto (Reading, UK)
17:10 – 17:50   Anticipation and Computation. Is Anticipatory Computing Possible?
                            Mihai Nadin (Dallas, USA)
18:00                  DINNER AT HWK

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

                            SESSION 5: ANTICIPATION, CULTURE, AND SOCIETY
09:00 – 09:40   On the Role of Probabilistic Prognosis in Teaching
                             Lea Valentine Lavrik and Meir Vladimir Shunyakov (Jerusalem, Israel)
09:40 – 10:20   Anticipation Computational Creativity
                            Bill Seaman (Durham, USA)
10:20 – 11:00   Political Anticipation: Understanding Trends and Surfing Them
                            Marie-Hélène Caillol (Paris, France)
11:00 – 11:30   COFFEE BREAK
11:30 – 12:10   Design of an Interactive Living Space: Anticipatory Spatial Articulation
                            in Computer-Mediated Human-Space Interaction
                            Asma Naz (Dhaka, Bangladesh)
12:10 – 12:50   Final Discussion
13:00                  LUNCH


Preliminary Program

Monday, September 22, 2014

09:00                  Welcome Address (Prof. Dr. Reto Weiler, Rector HWK)
                            SESSION 1: THEORETICAL AND GENERAL ASPECTS OF ANTICIPATION
09:10 – 09:50   Anticipation of Random Future Events
                            Patrizio Tressoldi (Padova, Italy)
09:50 – 10:30   The Birth Defect of the Information Processing Approach
                            Joachim Hoffmann (Würzburg, Germany)
10:30 – 11:10   Future Perception in Plants.
                            Ariel Novoplanksy (Negev, Israel)
11:10 – 11:40   COFFEE BREAK
11:40 – 12:20   Anticipation and the Corresponding Neural Processes
                            Andres Kurismaa (Tallin, Estonia)
12:20 - 13:00    An Epistemological Compromise Between Observer and Actor
                            Alastair Hewitt (Boston, USA), Skype
13:00 – 14:30   LUNCH BREAK
                            Inside - Out
                            Lada Nachonechna (Kiev, Ukraine)
                            A Performance (Anticipation and Art)
                            SESSION 2: ANTICIPATION IN BIOLOGICAL AND PHYSIOLOGICAL
                            SYSTEMS
14:30 – 15:10   Exploiting Predictable Responses.
                            Bjoern Brembs (Regensburg, Germany)
15:10 – 15:50   The Closed-Loop Coding-Decoding (CL-CD) and Analysis by Synthesis
                            (A-by-S) as B sics Principles of the Anticipatory Functional Organization in
                            Living Systems.
                            Dobilas Kirvelis (Vilnius, Lithuania)
15:50 – 16:30   Complex Renewable Energy Networks
                            Martin Greiner (Aarhus, Denmark)
16:30 – 17:00   COFFEE BREAK
17:00 – 17:40   Neurocognition of Prediction.
                            Ricarda Ines Schubotz (Münster, Germany)
17:40 – 18:20   Time and Consciousness: Feeling the Future Again --
                            Retroactive Avoidance of Negative Stimuli
                            Markus A. Maier, Vanessa L. Büchner (München, Germany)
18:20 – 19:00   Human, All Too Human: Euclidean and Multifractal Analysis in
                            an Experimental Diagrammatic Model of Thinking
                            Fabián Labra-Spröhnle (Wellington, New Zealand)
19:00                 WELCOME RECEPTION AND DINNER AT HWK

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

                            SESSION 3: ANTICIPATION IN (NEURAL) NETWORKS
09:30 – 10:10   Certain and Uncertain Futures in the Brain
                            Daniel S. Levine (Arlington, USA)
10:10 – 10:50   The Imminence Mapping Anticipates
                            A. H. Louie (Ottawa, Canada)
10:50 – 11:20   COFFEE BREAK
11:20 – 12:00   Synapses in a Digital Medium
                            Slawomir Nasuto (Reading, UK)
12:00 – 12:40   Representation and Anticipation in Motor Action
                            Thomas Schack, Christoph Schütz, and Christian Seegelke
                            (Bielefeld, Germany)

12:40 – 14:00   LUNCH BREAK
                            Inside - Out
                            Lada Nakonechna (Kiev, Ukraine)
                            A Performance (Anticipation and Art)
                            SESSION 4: ANTICIPATION IN ENGINEERING & INFORMATION
                            TECHNOLOGY
14:00 – 14:40   Information Concepts in Anticipatory Systems
                            Tippure S. Sundresh (Naperville, USA)
14:40 – 15:20   Anticipatory Behavior of Software Agents in Self-Organizing Negotiations
                            Jan Ole Berndt and Otthein Herzog (Bremen, Germany)
15:20 – 15:50   COFFEE BREAK
15:50 – 16:30   The Ways of Scientific Anticipation: From Guesses to Probabilities
                             and From There to Certainty
                             Aaro Toomela (Tallinn, Estonia), Skype
16:30 – 17:10   Anticipatory Engineering: Anticipation in Sensory-Motor Systems
                            of Human
                            Yoshikatsu Hayashi, Jamie Blake, and Slawomir J. Nasuto (Reading, UK)
17:10 – 17:50   Anticipation and Computation. Is Anticipatory Computing Possible?
                            Mihai Nadin (Dallas, USA)
18:00                  DINNER AT HWK

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

                            SESSION 5: ANTICIPATION, CULTURE, AND SOCIETY
09:00 – 09:40   On the Role of Probabilistic Prognosis in Teaching
                             Lea Valentine Lavrik and Meir Vladimir Shunyakov (Jerusalem, Israel)
09:40 – 10:20   Anticipation Computational Creativity
                            Bill Seaman (Durham, USA)
10:20 – 11:00   Political Anticipation: Understanding Trends and Surfing Them
                            Marie-Hélène Caillol (Paris, France)
11:00 – 11:30   COFFEE BREAK
11:30 – 12:10   Design of an Interactive Living Space: Anticipatory Spatial Articulation
                            in Computer-Mediated Human-Space Interaction
                            Asma Naz (Dhaka, Bangladesh)
12:10 – 12:50   Final Discussion
13:00                  LUNCH